The math for the Yankees making the playoffs doesn’t add up

The math… isn’t great. Nothing adds up correctly.

The Yankees had a 0.1% chance of making the playoffs as of Monday morning, per baseball-reference.com. Three times as likely, according to ESPN’s estimations (0.3 percent). And FanGraphs, in an obvious ploy to attract more Yankees fans as paying customers, had them at 0.4%.

As of Monday, the Yankees had seven fatalities on their roster. After beating the Tigers on September 6 to extend their winning streak to five games and improve their record to 8-3, they were within six games of the last wild card berth, their closest position in over a month. In a bold assertion, Aaron Boone stated, “all we can do is keep winning.” And they entertained.600 in their next 10 contests.

And blew a 0.5 game lead in the race for the wild card.

At the start of play on Monday, the Yankees’ lead over the clubs they are chasing was at 6 12 games. Meanwhile, the teams in pursuit played their 150th games of the season.

And thus, to recap. False calculations. There was a great deal of erroneous computation.

But, come on, what else do we have at the moment?

There will be no football action until Thursday. The basketball and hockey seasons are yet to begin. It seems like every day St. John’s signs another quality recruit, but you won’t see that on TV. We’re all just killing time till the almost-certain WNBA Finals between the Liberty and the Aces. The Mets’ playoff odds are -1 percent according to two of the aforementioned oddsmakers (FanGraphs, obviously pining for Mets fans too, only gives the Mets a Blutarsky — 0.0).

(And there will never be any more “Winning Time” episodes to anticipate. Oh no, it’s HBO!

For the time being, the Yankees have two teams to pass and three games this week against one of them (Toronto) at home. The Blue Jays have a seven-game lead over the Yankees, but the two clubs meet six times in the next 10 days. Perhaps we shouldn’t use the word “critical” just yet with these games.

True Yankees fans, though, will be tuning in.

Aaron Boone standing on the first step of the dugout.

Yankees manager Aaron Boone and his team are still in the figҺt.

AP

Sure, you’ll spend a lot of time looking up the scores in Seattle and Arlington, Texas on your phone. The numbers are what they are. There will be 13 more days of games. The Yankees still have 12 games to play, so let’s take a look at what they almost likely need to accomplish in that time.

One, beаt the Jays by a score of 5-1.

The Diamondbacks are in town this weekend, so take advantage and win two of three games.

Third, sweep the Royals, who may still end up with a losing record of 110 games.

That’s 10-2. That’s not easy. The Yankees could really use a streak like that right about now. That would put them at 86-76 by the following Sunday, which isn’t quite enough to win the game. The following must be accomplished by two of the three teams ahead of them for it to matter:

The Blue Jays have a 2-10 record in their last 12 games, and while it’s unlikely they’ll catch the Yankees or Rays, both of whom are figҺting for first place. The Jays would have an 85-77 record in that case. The Yankees would win the tiebreaker 86-76 even if the Blue Jays finished with a 3-10 record. although It might be of no consequence because…

Seven games are scheduled between the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers. Unless one team goes 6-1 or 7-0, this might make things more difficult. Since the Yankees still have three games in hand over the A’s, Seattle is the team they should be rooting for if they want to lose 111 games. They seemed like they were ready to tuck their tails under this past weekend in Cleveland, so if the Rangers were to go, sаy, 1-6 against the Mariners…

Still, it’s not easy. Three of this week’s games for the Rangers will be played against the white-flag-waving Red Sox. Have they ever dropped two of three? If so, they would be 85-77 overall, one game behind the New York Yankees (against whom they hold the tiebreaker) and the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros (2-8).

Sure, that’s a whole lot of dominoes. However, the next football game isn’t until Thursday. The writer’s strike has left us with nothing to watch on TV other than our fifth marathon of “The Wire.” Perhaps the Yankees don’t place the same importance on September games as other teams in town. But for the time being… we have some.